Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.058897 0.066770 0.074897 0.083883 0.093511 0.103488 0.114581
2025-04-27 0.044486 0.055836 0.068253 0.082701 0.098912 0.116413 0.136608
2025-05-04 0.037326 0.050959 0.066582 0.085473 0.107381 0.131703 0.160463
2025-05-11 0.030459 0.045169 0.062786 0.084845 0.111176 0.141101 0.177202
2025-05-18 0.026587 0.042355 0.061955 0.087197 0.118010 0.153659 0.197304
2025-05-25 0.023246 0.039715 0.060924 0.088953 0.123857 0.164868 0.215717
2025-06-01 0.018972 0.035246 0.057086 0.086794 0.124600 0.169759 0.226493
2025-06-08 0.015462 0.031362 0.053615 0.084748 0.125188 0.174236 0.236598
2025-06-15 0.013851 0.030065 0.053483 0.086919 0.130984 0.184995 0.254232
2025-06-22 0.012118 0.028342 0.052578 0.087922 0.135192 0.193747 0.269421
2025-06-29 0.011368 0.028112 0.053749 0.091701 0.142984 0.206972 0.290126
2025-07-06 0.009885 0.026438 0.052655 0.092251 0.146478 0.214781 0.304174
2025-07-13 0.009671 0.027107 0.055268 0.098289 0.157652 0.232815 0.331571
2025-07-20 0.007731 0.024329 0.052437 0.096534 0.158438 0.237747 0.342864
2025-07-27 0.006974 0.023704 0.052914 0.099497 0.165581 0.250844 0.364440
2025-08-03 0.005667 0.021695 0.050975 0.098792 0.167635 0.257335 0.377701
2025-08-10 0.005058 0.021079 0.051275 0.101372 0.174198 0.269691 0.398417
2025-08-17 0.004426 0.020277 0.051178 0.103300 0.179827 0.280828 0.417615
2025-08-24 0.003341 0.018055 0.048388 0.100930 0.179288 0.283750 0.426240
2025-08-31 0.002465 0.016055 0.045785 0.098681 0.178793 0.286640 0.434761
2025-09-07 0.002163 0.015652 0.046115 0.101066 0.184943 0.298411 0.454783
2025-09-14 0.001789 0.014886 0.045675 0.102167 0.189215 0.307667 0.471574
2025-09-21 0.001692 0.015062 0.047090 0.106314 0.197960 0.322997 0.496332